League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
11.8451.0%
X3.6725.6%
24.0223.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Grimsby
LLDLLLWWLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Newport County
LDWWLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
2.70
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
2.70
Goals conceded
1.10
4.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Grimsby attack

1.40goals per match
Newport County conceded1.10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.20goals per match
Grimsby conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.70
Match total
22.80

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
2.90
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches431
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.0%48.5%-2.6 pp
Draw25.6%27.8%+2.3 pp
Away23.4%23.7%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.601.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-010.4%
2-09.3%
2-18.8%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.934.41
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=431.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.2%32.2%–48.7% CI
Draw FT40.2%32.2%–48.7% CI
Away FT19.7%13.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away37.1%