League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.2342.0%
X3.5426.5%
22.9731.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sutton
DLDDLDLDDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Swindon
DWLLLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.10
Against
6.50
10.20
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.60
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sutton attack
1.20goals per matchSwindon conceded2.20Matchup
Swindon attack
1.30goals per matchSutton conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.50
10.20
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.60
Match total
20.50
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.10
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%39.6%-2.4 pp
Draw26.5%27.7%+1.2 pp
Away31.5%32.7%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS60.6%
Historical average
1.46–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.9%
2-19.5%
1-28.8%
1-08.6%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–4.66
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=451.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.6%25.8%–42.4% CI
Draw FT40.2%31.9%–49.0% CI
Away FT26.2%19.2%–34.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals19.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.4%
Away50.8%