League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.4338.6%
X3.4826.9%
22.7234.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
WDWDWWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Crawley Town
WWLWLWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.50
11.10
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.80goals per matchCrawley Town conceded0.90Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.50goals per matchNewport County conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.50
11.10
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.90
Match total
20.20
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%41.0%+2.4 pp
Draw26.9%27.7%+0.8 pp
Away34.5%31.3%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS63.3%
Historical average
1.52–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
2-110.5%
1-28.2%
2-27.8%
1-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.79
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.4%24.9%–47.5% CI
Draw FT35.4%24.9%–47.5% CI
Away FT29.2%19.6%–41.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away56.9%