League Two · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.4338.6%
X3.4826.9%
22.7234.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
WDWDWWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Crawley Town
WWLWLWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.50
11.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.80goals per match
Crawley Town conceded0.90
Matchup

Crawley Town attack

1.50goals per match
Newport County conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.50
11.10
Match total
10.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.90
Match total
20.20

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.6%41.0%+2.4 pp
Draw26.9%27.7%+0.8 pp
Away34.5%31.3%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.521.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
2-110.5%
1-28.2%
2-27.8%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.79
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.4%24.9%–47.5% CI
Draw FT35.4%24.9%–47.5% CI
Away FT29.2%19.6%–41.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away56.9%