League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
12.2441.9%
X3.8324.5%
22.8033.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LWDWDLWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Notts County
LLLDLWLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.00
Against
5.80
11.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.40goals per match
Notts County conceded2.10
Matchup

Notts County attack

1.80goals per match
Swindon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.80
11.00
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
7.70N=10
21.90
Match total
19.60

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.30
On target
5.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%26.7%-15.3 pp
Draw24.5%40.0%+15.5 pp
Away33.5%33.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.553.3%
BTTS86.7%

Historical average

1.802.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-213.3%
2-113.3%
1-113.3%
1-36.7%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.334.67
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away71.4%