League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
12.0545.8%
X3.3927.7%
23.5526.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gillingham
LLWDDDDWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Crewe
LLDWWDWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
10.00
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gillingham attack
0.80goals per matchCrewe conceded1.30Matchup
Crewe attack
1.30goals per matchGillingham conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
10.00
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.80
Match total
21.30
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches536
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%49.4%+3.6 pp
Draw27.7%26.5%-1.2 pp
Away26.5%24.1%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.47–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.4%
1-112.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%
0-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.42–4.26
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=536.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches175
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.7%34.7%–49.1% CI
Draw FT38.3%31.4%–45.7% CI
Away FT20.0%14.7%–26.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away38.3%