League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.9847.4%
X3.6026.1%
23.5426.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Colchester
WDLLWLDDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Newport County
LLDWWLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.30
Against
5.70
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Colchester attack
1.40goals per matchNewport County conceded1.10Matchup
Newport County attack
1.20goals per matchColchester conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.70
10.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
20.80
Match total
22.30
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches412
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%45.1%-2.3 pp
Draw26.1%28.9%+2.8 pp
Away26.5%26.0%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS57.5%
Historical average
1.65–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.7%
2-110.0%
2-29.2%
1-08.0%
0-08.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.41
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=412.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%24.8%–43.1% CI
Draw FT46.5%37.0%–56.2% CI
Away FT20.2%13.5%–29.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals20.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away41.4%