League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-23 · 15:00
13.1729.7%
X3.2229.2%
22.2941.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morecambe
LDLDDLWDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Gillingham
LDWWLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.60
Against
3.80
10.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.00goals per match
Gillingham conceded1.20
Matchup

Gillingham attack

1.00goals per match
Morecambe conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.80
10.70
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
21.40
Match total
19.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.60
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches580
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%29.5%-0.2 pp
Draw29.2%26.2%-3.0 pp
Away41.1%44.3%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.031.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.4%
1-112.1%
1-011.9%
0-09.0%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.634.99
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=580.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.4%22.6%–35.1% CI
Draw FT37.6%31.1%–44.5% CI
Away FT34.0%27.8%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away49.7%