League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-23 · 15:00
11.7354.2%
X3.6325.8%
24.7020.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barrow
WDDWLWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Newport County
WLLDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Barrow attack

1.30goals per match
Newport County conceded1.10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.40goals per match
Barrow conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.60
Match total
22.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches485
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.2%59.6%+5.4 pp
Draw25.8%22.7%-3.2 pp
Away20.0%17.7%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.690.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
2-114.0%
2-010.9%
1-110.7%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.913.98
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=485.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.7%40.9%–56.5% CI
Draw FT36.4%29.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT14.9%10.2%–21.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away38.3%