League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.7933.6%
X3.6725.6%
22.3040.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Accrington
WLDWWLDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Notts County
LLLLLDLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
5.60
Against
5.50
12.20
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.40
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Accrington attack

1.30goals per match
Notts County conceded2.40
Matchup

Notts County attack

1.50goals per match
Accrington conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.50
12.20
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
8.10N=10
22.10
Match total
20.10

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.20
On target
4.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%37.3%+3.7 pp
Draw25.6%30.7%+5.1 pp
Away40.8%32.0%-8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

1.511.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-210.7%
1-08.0%
3-16.7%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.89
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Draw FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Away FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away57.1%