League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
11.8251.6%
X3.8924.1%
23.8624.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
WLLWDWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Accrington
LLDLDWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
10.70
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
1.40goals per matchAccrington conceded1.90Matchup
Accrington attack
1.00goals per matchSwindon conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
10.70
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.10
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
22.10
Match total
25.60
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%47.9%-3.7 pp
Draw24.1%23.4%-0.7 pp
Away24.3%28.7%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.548.9%
BTTS75.5%
Historical average
2.05–1.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.7%
3-07.4%
1-27.4%
3-27.4%
2-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–4.26
Average total10.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.7%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.537.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away53.8%