League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
11.8251.6%
X3.8924.1%
23.8624.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
WLLWDWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Accrington
LLDLDWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.40
10.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.40goals per match
Accrington conceded1.90
Matchup

Accrington attack

1.00goals per match
Swindon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.40
10.70
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.10
Match total
4.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
22.10
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%47.9%-3.7 pp
Draw24.1%23.4%-0.7 pp
Away24.3%28.7%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.548.9%
BTTS75.5%

Historical average

2.051.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
3-07.4%
1-27.4%
3-27.4%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.26
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.7%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away53.8%