League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
12.2042.7%
X3.3827.8%
23.1829.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
DWDWDWWLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Morecambe
LWDLWWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
2.00
1.70
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
10.40
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
4.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.30goals per match
Morecambe conceded2.30
Matchup

Morecambe attack

1.80goals per match
Newport County conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
10.40
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.40
Match total
21.00

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches852
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%43.9%+1.2 pp
Draw27.8%28.2%+0.4 pp
Away29.5%27.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.501.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-010.3%
2-19.5%
0-08.1%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.654.46
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=852.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%29.4%–40.8% CI
Draw FT39.0%33.3%–45.0% CI
Away FT26.1%21.2%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away45.1%