League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
12.8832.6%
X3.5426.5%
22.2940.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Grimsby
WDWLLDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
DWWLWLLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
2.70
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.20
Against
3.90
12.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
2.70
Goals conceded
1.50
4.40
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Grimsby attack

1.70goals per match
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.50
Matchup

Milton Keynes Dons attack

1.30goals per match
Grimsby conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.90
12.70
Match total
8.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.10
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
4.00
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches294
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%30.3%-2.3 pp
Draw26.5%30.3%+3.8 pp
Away40.9%39.5%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

1.281.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-28.5%
0-08.2%
2-28.2%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.06
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.0%15.4%–32.9% CI
Draw FT42.5%32.7%–53.0% CI
Away FT34.5%25.3%–44.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away54.0%