League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
12.6535.4%
X3.7824.8%
22.3639.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crawley Town
LWWLLWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Notts County
WLLLLLDLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.40
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crawley Town attack

1.60goals per match
Notts County conceded2.30
Matchup

Notts County attack

1.60goals per match
Crawley Town conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
23.40
Match total
19.70

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%26.1%-9.3 pp
Draw24.8%30.4%+5.6 pp
Away39.8%43.5%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS69.6%

Historical average

1.391.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
1-213.0%
0-28.7%
2-18.7%
3-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.355.39
Average total10.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.547.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away91.7%