League Two · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
12.6535.4%
X3.7824.8%
22.3639.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crawley Town
LWWLLWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Notts County
WLLLLLDLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.40
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.60goals per matchNotts County conceded2.30Matchup
Notts County attack
1.60goals per matchCrawley Town conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
23.40
Match total
19.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%26.1%-9.3 pp
Draw24.8%30.4%+5.6 pp
Away39.8%43.5%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS69.6%
Historical average
1.39–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.4%
1-213.0%
0-28.7%
2-18.7%
3-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–5.39
Average total10.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.547.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away91.7%