League Two · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 12:30
11.8550.6%
X3.7525.0%
23.8324.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
WDLWLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Crawley Town
LLLLLLWLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.20
Against
5.70
7.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.50goals per match
Crawley Town conceded1.70
Matchup

Crawley Town attack

0.50goals per match
Swindon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.70
7.30
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
3.90
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%49.8%-0.8 pp
Draw25.0%27.9%+2.9 pp
Away24.4%22.4%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.781.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
2-010.9%
2-17.5%
1-07.5%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.50
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.2%26.5%–51.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%28.1%–53.2% CI
Away FT21.8%12.9%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.6%
2+ goals58.2%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.9%
Away50.9%