League Two · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 12:30
11.6257.9%
X3.8724.2%
25.2317.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
DWDLDDWWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Crewe
DDDLLLWLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.60
Against
7.00
8.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.60goals per match
Crewe conceded1.50
Matchup

Crewe attack

0.60goals per match
Newport County conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.60
Corners against
7.00
8.00
Match total
11.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.50
Match total
2.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.70
Match total
23.20

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%61.4%+3.6 pp
Draw24.2%20.6%-3.6 pp
Away17.9%18.0%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.720.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
2-012.0%
2-110.9%
1-19.4%
0-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.253.79
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=267.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.6%39.7%–61.5% CI
Draw FT35.1%25.3%–46.2% CI
Away FT14.3%8.2%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away32.5%