League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
12.3639.8%
X3.1429.9%
23.1030.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gillingham
WWWLWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Newport County
LWDWLDWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
8.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Gillingham attack

1.40goals per match
Newport County conceded1.30
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.10goals per match
Gillingham conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
8.30
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches735
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%40.7%+0.9 pp
Draw29.9%31.6%+1.7 pp
Away30.3%27.8%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.211.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-012.8%
0-011.7%
2-19.4%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.36
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=735.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches268
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.0%25.7%–36.7% CI
Draw FT47.4%41.5%–53.4% CI
Away FT21.6%17.1%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away40.7%