League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
12.8732.7%
X3.2628.8%
22.4438.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crewe
WDDLLWDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Swindon
LLLWDDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.50
0.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.30
Against
6.70
10.00
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crewe attack
1.40goals per matchSwindon conceded1.50Matchup
Swindon attack
1.50goals per matchCrewe conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.70
10.00
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.60
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.70
Match total
24.10
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.40
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%30.1%-2.6 pp
Draw28.8%25.4%-3.4 pp
Away38.5%44.5%+6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS51.7%
Historical average
1.18–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.5%
1-111.9%
1-08.5%
2-18.2%
0-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–5.07
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.9%15.1%–30.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%25.0%–42.8% CI
Away FT44.8%35.6%–54.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals12.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.1%
Away61.9%