League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-25 · 19:45
13.5026.9%
X3.2928.6%
22.1144.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
LWDLWLLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Stevenage
DDDLWLDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
2.40
7.30
Total
7.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
1.60goals per matchStevenage conceded1.20Matchup
Stevenage attack
0.80goals per matchSwindon conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.40
7.30
Match total
7.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.10
Match total
23.40
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.9%21.0%-5.9 pp
Draw28.6%32.7%+4.1 pp
Away44.6%46.3%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
0.92–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.6%
1-112.3%
0-112.3%
1-29.9%
0-28.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.56–5.19
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.0%6.4%–18.3% CI
Draw FT52.3%43.0%–61.4% CI
Away FT36.7%28.2%–46.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal59.6%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.5%
Away51.4%