League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-25 · 19:45
13.5026.9%
X3.2928.6%
22.1144.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LWDLWLLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Stevenage
DDDLWLDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
2.40
7.30
Total
7.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.60goals per match
Stevenage conceded1.20
Matchup

Stevenage attack

0.80goals per match
Swindon conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
2.40
7.30
Match total
7.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.9%21.0%-5.9 pp
Draw28.6%32.7%+4.1 pp
Away44.6%46.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

0.921.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.6%
1-112.3%
0-112.3%
1-29.9%
0-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.565.19
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.0%6.4%–18.3% CI
Draw FT52.3%43.0%–61.4% CI
Away FT36.7%28.2%–46.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.6%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.5%
Away51.4%