League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-25 · 19:45
11.9348.9%
X3.4227.6%
24.0023.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newport County
DDWDLDDWWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Harrogate
DWDDLWLDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.10
Against
6.00
8.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newport County attack
1.40goals per matchHarrogate conceded1.60Matchup
Harrogate attack
1.20goals per matchNewport County conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.00
8.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.30
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.50
Match total
18.90
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches628
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.9%48.6%-0.3 pp
Draw27.6%26.9%-0.7 pp
Away23.6%24.5%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
1.55–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.5%
1-111.0%
2-110.8%
2-08.9%
0-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.47–4.32
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=628.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.2%31.9%–44.9% CI
Draw FT35.4%29.3%–42.0% CI
Away FT26.4%20.9%–32.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.8%
Away41.5%