League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 15:00
11.7753.1%
X3.5626.4%
24.5820.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
LWDDLWWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Harrogate
LDWDDLWLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.10
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
1.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.90goals per matchHarrogate conceded1.40Matchup
Harrogate attack
1.10goals per matchNorthampton conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.70
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.90
Match total
18.90
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches337
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%54.6%+1.5 pp
Draw26.4%25.5%-0.9 pp
Away20.5%19.9%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.63–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-012.8%
2-011.3%
2-110.4%
0-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–4.09
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=337.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.1%33.9%–52.8% CI
Draw FT34.3%25.8%–43.9% CI
Away FT22.5%15.5%–31.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.8%
Away42.2%