League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 15:00
12.2541.7%
X3.3028.5%
23.1529.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hartlepool
DWLDLDDDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Crawley Town
DLLLLLLWLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.10
Against
6.00
10.60
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hartlepool attack
1.60goals per matchCrawley Town conceded1.90Matchup
Crawley Town attack
0.50goals per matchHartlepool conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.00
10.60
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
20.90
Match total
23.80
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.40
13%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches736
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%41.0%-0.7 pp
Draw28.5%29.1%+0.6 pp
Away29.8%29.9%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.43–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
1-09.9%
0-09.5%
0-18.4%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.67–4.52
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=736.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.531.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches237
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.6%26.1%–37.8% CI
Draw FT43.0%36.9%–49.4% CI
Away FT25.3%20.2%–31.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away43.5%