League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-18 · 19:45
13.1729.7%
X3.3228.3%
22.2442.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swindon
DLWDLWLLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Bradford
LDDWWWDDDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
0.40
60%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.60
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Against
6.60
7.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.40
2.90
Total goals
1.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swindon attack
1.50goals per matchBradford conceded0.40Matchup
Bradford attack
1.00goals per matchSwindon conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.60
7.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.30
Match total
24.00
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches500
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%28.0%-1.7 pp
Draw28.3%23.4%-4.9 pp
Away42.0%48.6%+6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.11–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.2%
0-111.4%
1-211.0%
1-09.0%
0-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.72–5.15
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=500.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.9%22.2%–36.6% CI
Draw FT35.6%28.3%–43.5% CI
Away FT35.6%28.3%–43.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals18.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.3%
Away57.0%