League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
12.6835.1%
X3.1529.8%
22.6835.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LDLWDLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Barrow
DWDLDLWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
4.00
8.10
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.50goals per match
Barrow conceded1.40
Matchup

Barrow attack

0.80goals per match
Swindon conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.00
8.10
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
21.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches738
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%31.3%-3.8 pp
Draw29.8%35.5%+5.7 pp
Away35.1%33.2%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.131.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
0-011.7%
0-111.4%
2-19.3%
1-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.87
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=737.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches264
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.4%20.5%–31.0% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.9%–51.9% CI
Away FT28.8%23.7%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals31.4%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.3%
Away48.1%