League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 15:00
12.4139.0%
X3.2429.0%
22.9332.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tranmere
WDDWWLWDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Swindon
WWLLLWDDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
7.80
9.80
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tranmere attack

1.20goals per match
Swindon conceded1.40
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.30goals per match
Tranmere conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.80
9.80
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.90
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.90
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.40
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches569
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%38.5%-0.5 pp
Draw29.0%33.2%+4.2 pp
Away32.1%28.3%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.221.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-012.3%
0-010.7%
0-19.0%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.48
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=569.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%21.9%–34.1% CI
Draw FT46.8%40.1%–53.7% CI
Away FT25.6%20.1%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away47.3%