League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 15:00
12.4139.0%
X3.2429.0%
22.9332.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tranmere
WDDWWLWDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Swindon
WWLLLWDDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
7.80
9.80
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tranmere attack
1.20goals per matchSwindon conceded1.40Matchup
Swindon attack
1.30goals per matchTranmere conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.80
9.80
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.90
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.90
Match total
23.70
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.40
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches569
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.0%38.5%-0.5 pp
Draw29.0%33.2%+4.2 pp
Away32.1%28.3%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
1.22–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.9%
1-012.3%
0-010.7%
0-19.0%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.48
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=569.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%21.9%–34.1% CI
Draw FT46.8%40.1%–53.7% CI
Away FT25.6%20.1%–32.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.2%
Away47.3%