League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 15:00
11.6158.3%
X3.8724.2%
25.3717.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mansfield
WDLDWWLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Rochdale
LDWLLLDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.50
9.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

1.80goals per match
Rochdale conceded1.50
Matchup

Rochdale attack

0.90goals per match
Mansfield conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.50
9.50
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.50
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches228
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%61.0%+2.7 pp
Draw24.2%21.1%-3.2 pp
Away17.5%18.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.740.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
2-012.3%
2-111.4%
1-19.6%
0-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.223.79
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=228.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.5%36.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT34.8%24.5%–46.9% CI
Away FT16.7%9.6%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away36.4%