Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-02 · 19:45
11.5362.2%
X4.6420.5%
25.4817.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
LDWWLLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Parma
LLDWDWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
2.10
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
8.20
Against
5.50
13.10
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
1.70goals per matchParma conceded2.00Matchup
Parma attack
1.50goals per matchLecce conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
8.20
Corners against
5.50
13.10
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.30
Match total
26.80
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.00
On target
5.00
18%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.2%47.8%-14.3 pp
Draw20.5%30.4%+9.9 pp
Away17.4%21.7%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.552.2%
BTTS65.2%
Historical average
2.17–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-117.4%
1-113.0%
2-213.0%
0-28.7%
1-24.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.91–3.74
Average total10.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.9%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.2%
Away50.0%