Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-02 · 19:45
11.5362.2%
X4.6420.5%
25.4817.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LDWWLLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Parma
LLDWDWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
2.10
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
8.20
Against
5.50
13.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.70goals per match
Parma conceded2.00
Matchup

Parma attack

1.50goals per match
Lecce conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
8.20
Corners against
5.50
13.10
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.30
Match total
26.80

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
5.00
On target
5.00
18%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.2%47.8%-14.3 pp
Draw20.5%30.4%+9.9 pp
Away17.4%21.7%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.552.2%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

2.171.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-117.4%
1-113.0%
2-213.0%
0-28.7%
1-24.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.913.74
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.9%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.2%
Away50.0%