League Two · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
12.6036.1%
X3.0031.3%
22.8732.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
LWLDDWDLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Northampton
WDLLWDWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.90
Against
4.20
8.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.10goals per match
Northampton conceded0.90
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.30goals per match
Newport County conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.20
8.40
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.40
Match total
22.90

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.10
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches463
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%31.5%-4.5 pp
Draw31.3%35.2%+3.9 pp
Away32.7%33.3%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.061.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-013.6%
1-011.4%
0-111.0%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.39
Average total9.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=463.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.520.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.7%22.5%–35.7% CI
Draw FT46.1%38.9%–53.4% CI
Away FT25.3%19.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.6%
2+ goals29.8%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.9%
Away39.9%