Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-02 · 19:45
11.5461.8%
X4.4621.3%
25.6616.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
WLWLLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Verona
DDDDLDLDLD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.90
Against
6.20
9.10
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Verona conceded1.30
Matchup

Verona attack

0.90goals per match
Genoa conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.20
9.10
Match total
12.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
28.00
Match total
29.00

Shots

8.30N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.30
On target
5.40
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%80.8%+18.9 pp
Draw21.3%3.8%-17.5 pp
Away16.8%15.4%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

2.691.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.2%
2-015.4%
5-111.5%
4-27.7%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.15
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away44.4%