Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-02 · 19:45
12.1544.2%
X4.0223.7%
22.9632.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
DDWLDLDLDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Torino
WLLLLLLLLD
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.40
Against
6.90
11.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
2.60
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.10goals per match
Torino conceded2.30
Matchup

Torino attack

0.90goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.90
11.70
Match total
11.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.20N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
31.60
Match total
27.90

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
5.40
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%35.0%-9.2 pp
Draw23.7%30.0%+6.3 pp
Away32.1%35.0%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.251.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-210.0%
0-010.0%
1-010.0%
1-210.0%
2-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.703.60
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Away FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away30.0%