League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-28 · 19:45
12.6435.5%
X3.2928.5%
22.6036.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crawley Town
DWLLWDLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Grimsby
LLLLWLWLWD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.90
Against
5.10
8.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.60goals per matchGrimsby conceded1.60Matchup
Grimsby attack
1.00goals per matchCrawley Town conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.10
8.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.10
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
22.30
Match total
23.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches626
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%30.8%-4.7 pp
Draw28.5%29.1%+0.6 pp
Away36.0%40.1%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.14–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.3%
0-113.4%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
1-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–4.76
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=626.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches203
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.0%–33.1% CI
Draw FT37.4%31.1%–44.3% CI
Away FT36.0%29.7%–42.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.3%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away59.1%