Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 19:45
12.8433.5%
X3.7825.2%
22.3041.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LLWLWWWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lazio
WDWWLWLDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.70
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.80goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.30
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.10
Match total
26.40

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
8.70
On target
5.70
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.5%20.0%-13.5 pp
Draw25.2%40.0%+14.8 pp
Away41.4%40.0%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.510.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.001.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-130.0%
0-110.0%
1-210.0%
2-010.0%
0-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.80
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away80.0%