League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-21 · 19:45
12.3539.9%
X3.0930.3%
23.1529.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bradford
DLWWLDWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Carlisle
WDWLWLWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.20
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.40
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bradford attack

1.40goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.10
Matchup

Carlisle attack

2.20goals per match
Bradford conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.00
Match total
18.40

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches802
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%39.9%+0.0 pp
Draw30.3%31.3%+1.0 pp
Away29.8%28.8%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.211.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.0%
0-011.2%
0-19.2%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.32
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=802.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches296
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.4%25.4%–35.9% CI
Draw FT44.9%39.4%–50.6% CI
Away FT24.7%20.1%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away43.6%