League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
13.1729.6%
X3.2728.7%
22.2541.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rochdale
LLLDLLDLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Swindon
WLWWLLLWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Rochdale attack

0.80goals per match
Swindon conceded1.20
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.30goals per match
Rochdale conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.10
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches489
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%27.8%-1.8 pp
Draw28.7%27.0%-1.7 pp
Away41.7%45.2%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.051.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
0-111.7%
1-011.2%
1-29.8%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.09
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=489.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.8%19.6%–33.1% CI
Draw FT40.9%33.5%–48.6% CI
Away FT33.3%26.5%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.4%
Away52.2%