League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
13.1729.6%
X3.2728.7%
22.2541.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rochdale
LLLDLLDLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Swindon
WLWWLLLWDD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rochdale attack
0.80goals per matchSwindon conceded1.20Matchup
Swindon attack
1.30goals per matchRochdale conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.60
Match total
24.00
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.10
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches489
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%27.8%-1.8 pp
Draw28.7%27.0%-1.7 pp
Away41.7%45.2%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.05–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
0-111.7%
1-011.2%
1-29.8%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.55–5.09
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=489.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.8%19.6%–33.1% CI
Draw FT40.9%33.5%–48.6% CI
Away FT33.3%26.5%–41.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.4%
Away52.2%