Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 19:45
11.3371.5%
X5.7116.7%
28.0611.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DWDWLWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cagliari
LDDLLWDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.80
Against
4.60
11.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.60
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.60
11.30
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.00
Match total
26.90

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
7.50
On target
4.80
15%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.5%75.0%+3.5 pp
Draw16.7%0.0%-16.7 pp
Away11.8%25.0%+13.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.171.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
3-216.7%
1-216.7%
3-08.3%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.58
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.9%
Away46.2%