League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 19:45
11.9049.4%
X3.2628.8%
24.3021.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sutton
LWWWWDWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Grimsby
WLLLLLWLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sutton attack
1.40goals per matchGrimsby conceded1.80Matchup
Grimsby attack
1.20goals per matchSutton conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.90
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
24.60
Match total
24.00
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches382
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%53.1%+3.8 pp
Draw28.8%31.9%+3.2 pp
Away21.8%14.9%-6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS46.9%
Historical average
1.54–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.4%
1-114.1%
0-011.3%
2-110.2%
2-09.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–3.90
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=382.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.541.1%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.525.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%33.6%–50.2% CI
Draw FT44.7%36.5%–53.2% CI
Away FT13.6%8.8%–20.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.3%
Away33.3%