League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 19:45
12.3539.9%
X3.1230.0%
23.1130.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
DDDWLWDDLW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Mansfield
LWLDWLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
4.00
10.60
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.90goals per match
Mansfield conceded1.10
Matchup

Mansfield attack

1.60goals per match
Northampton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.00
10.60
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.60
Match total
20.70

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.60
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches826
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%39.5%-0.4 pp
Draw30.0%31.6%+1.6 pp
Away30.1%28.9%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.211.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-012.2%
0-011.1%
0-19.4%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.41
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=826.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches301
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.6%24.7%–35.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%40.0%–51.2% CI
Away FT24.9%20.4%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away43.9%