League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.7933.6%
X3.2628.8%
22.4937.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
WWDLDLWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Carlisle
LWDWLWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.40
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.60goals per match
Carlisle conceded1.20
Matchup

Carlisle attack

2.00goals per match
Swindon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
19.60
Match total
18.20

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.00
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches489
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%30.1%-3.5 pp
Draw28.8%26.6%-2.2 pp
Away37.6%43.4%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.101.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.1%
1-112.3%
2-19.0%
1-28.4%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.93
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=489.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.6%21.3%–34.9% CI
Draw FT35.6%28.6%–43.2% CI
Away FT36.8%29.8%–44.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away56.4%