Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 19:45
12.8033.9%
X3.9624.0%
22.2642.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Roma
WWLLWLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
2.70
0.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.90
2.40
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
4.70
11.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
2.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
4.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.70goals per match
Roma conceded1.80
Matchup

Roma attack

2.70goals per match
Juventus conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
2.10
2H goals scored
1.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.70
11.80
Match total
9.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
24.50
Match total
27.30

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
8.40
On target
6.80
19%
Conversion
24%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%23.5%-10.4 pp
Draw24.0%29.4%+5.4 pp
Away42.1%47.1%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.241.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.6%
1-117.6%
0-117.6%
2-25.9%
4-35.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.065.82
Average total10.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.576.5%
Over 10.564.7%
Over 11.552.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away80.0%