Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 19:45
12.8033.9%
X3.9624.0%
22.2642.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Roma
WWLLWLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
2.70
0.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.90
2.40
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
4.70
11.80
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
2.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
4.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.70goals per matchRoma conceded1.80Matchup
Roma attack
2.70goals per matchJuventus conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.10
2H goals scored
1.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.70
11.80
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
24.50
Match total
27.30
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
8.40
On target
6.80
19%
Conversion
24%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%23.5%-10.4 pp
Draw24.0%29.4%+5.4 pp
Away42.1%47.1%+5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
1.24–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-217.6%
1-117.6%
0-117.6%
2-25.9%
4-35.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–5.82
Average total10.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.5%
Over 9.576.5%
Over 10.564.7%
Over 11.552.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away80.0%