League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.5237.1%
X3.1130.1%
22.8532.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newport County
LWLWLDDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bradford
WWLLDDWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Against
6.50
8.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.10
Total goals
1.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Newport County attack

1.00goals per match
Bradford conceded0.70
Matchup

Bradford attack

1.00goals per match
Newport County conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.50
8.90
Match total
8.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.60
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches468
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%34.6%-2.5 pp
Draw30.1%36.1%+6.0 pp
Away32.8%29.3%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.141.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.1%
1-013.5%
0-010.0%
0-18.3%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.60
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%26.8%–41.0% CI
Draw FT44.9%37.6%–52.5% CI
Away FT21.6%16.0%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away42.5%