League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.4638.2%
X3.1829.5%
22.9132.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crawley Town
WWWDWLLWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Harrogate
LLWLDWDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
8.20
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crawley Town attack
1.60goals per matchHarrogate conceded1.50Matchup
Harrogate attack
1.40goals per matchCrawley Town conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
8.20
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.40
Match total
18.80
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.40
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%33.5%-4.7 pp
Draw29.5%33.9%+4.4 pp
Away32.3%32.6%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
1.23–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
0-110.7%
0-09.4%
1-09.2%
2-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.24–4.49
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=456.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.7%18.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT48.0%40.2%–55.9% CI
Away FT27.3%20.8%–35.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals9.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away49.3%