Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 19:45
12.3340.8%
X3.7225.6%
22.8333.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
WLDWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Inter
WDWLLWDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.10
Against
3.30
8.70
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.80goals per matchInter conceded1.10Matchup
Inter attack
2.00goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.30
8.70
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.40N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
29.60
Match total
26.10
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
7.40
On target
6.40
22%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%33.3%-7.5 pp
Draw25.6%33.3%+7.8 pp
Away33.6%33.3%-0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.27–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-220.0%
1-120.0%
0-013.3%
1-013.3%
5-36.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–3.93
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
0.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal50.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away30.0%