League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-07 · 19:45
12.2142.4%
X3.1130.1%
23.4027.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Grimsby
WDLDWLWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Newport County
DDWDDLWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.40
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Grimsby attack

1.10goals per match
Newport County conceded1.00
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.90goals per match
Grimsby conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.30
Match total
3.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.10
Match total
23.90

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.40
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches491
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%42.0%-0.4 pp
Draw30.1%33.8%+3.7 pp
Away27.5%24.2%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.280.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
1-013.4%
0-011.4%
2-09.6%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.17
Average total9.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=491.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.5%
Over 9.539.7%
Over 10.528.5%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches192
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%28.5%–41.9% CI
Draw FT45.8%38.9%–52.9% CI
Away FT19.3%14.3%–25.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away40.1%