Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 17:00
16.4014.9%
X4.7520.0%
21.4665.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brescia
LDLDLDWLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sampdoria
DLWLLWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.20
Against
6.40
10.00
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brescia attack

1.20goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.80
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.40goals per match
Brescia conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.40
10.00
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.90
Match total
29.20

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.9%26.3%+11.5 pp
Draw20.0%15.8%-4.2 pp
Away65.1%57.9%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

1.322.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-215.8%
2-110.5%
2-410.5%
1-25.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.476.26
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away58.3%