Serie A · 2019/20
2020-08-01 · 17:00
16.4014.9%
X4.7520.0%
21.4665.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brescia
LDLDLDWLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sampdoria
DLWLLWLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.20
Against
6.40
10.00
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brescia attack
1.20goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.80Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.40goals per matchBrescia conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.40
10.00
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.90
Match total
29.20
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.9%26.3%+11.5 pp
Draw20.0%15.8%-4.2 pp
Away65.1%57.9%-7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS63.2%
Historical average
1.32–2.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.8%
0-215.8%
2-110.5%
2-410.5%
1-25.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.47–6.26
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.521.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away58.3%