League Two · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.5162.1%
X4.0922.9%
26.2814.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
LDDDWLWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Crawley Town
LDDLLDLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.80
Against
7.60
9.90
Total
13.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
1.70
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.80goals per match
Crawley Town conceded1.80
Matchup

Crawley Town attack

0.80goals per match
Northampton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.60
9.90
Match total
13.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.00
Match total
2.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
23.90
Match total
19.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.40
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.1%58.1%-4.0 pp
Draw22.9%26.0%+3.1 pp
Away14.9%15.9%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS44.5%

Historical average

1.720.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
2-013.2%
1-013.2%
3-07.5%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.72
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%35.9%–58.7% CI
Draw FT31.4%21.8%–43.0% CI
Away FT21.4%13.4%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away37.1%