Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 20:45
14.6020.6%
X3.9823.9%
21.7155.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
LWLLDWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Roma
DWWLLWLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.40
1.70
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
6.60
Against
5.10
11.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded1.60
Matchup

Roma attack

2.40goals per match
Torino conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.10
11.20
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.30
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

17.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
33.50
Match total
27.00

Shots

6.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.60
On target
6.30
19%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%24.3%+3.7 pp
Draw23.9%18.9%-4.9 pp
Away55.5%56.8%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS64.9%

Historical average

1.112.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.5%
1-110.8%
0-110.8%
1-210.8%
1-48.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.89
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away58.3%