Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 20:45
12.0247.1%
X3.5526.8%
23.6526.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LWDLDDLDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Bologna
WLWWLWWDLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.70
Against
7.10
9.10
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.90goals per match
Bologna conceded1.80
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.10
9.10
Match total
12.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
30.40
Match total
31.10

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.40
On target
6.40
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.1%35.1%-12.1 pp
Draw26.8%30.9%+4.1 pp
Away26.1%34.0%+7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.371.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
0-110.3%
1-210.3%
2-210.3%
2-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.094.33
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.561.9%
Over 10.551.5%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away60.0%