League Two · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
13.0330.9%
X3.1030.2%
22.4039.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Colchester
WDDWLWLDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Northampton
LDWWWDLLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.60
Against
3.50
11.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Colchester attack

1.20goals per match
Northampton conceded1.00
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.30goals per match
Colchester conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.50
11.10
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
25.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.4%-1.4 pp
Draw30.2%32.2%+2.1 pp
Away39.0%38.3%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.051.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-114.5%
0-011.7%
1-010.3%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.374.98
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%19.1%–39.0% CI
Draw FT46.7%35.8%–57.8% CI
Away FT25.3%16.9%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away41.3%