League Two · 2022/23
2023-02-21 · 19:45
13.4527.2%
X3.1529.8%
22.1843.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hartlepool
WLLWLLDWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Newport County
LLDDWDDLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
2.10
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
2.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Against
4.40
9.10
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
2.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
1.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hartlepool attack

1.40goals per match
Newport County conceded1.00
Matchup

Newport County attack

0.80goals per match
Hartlepool conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.40
9.10
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
19.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.80
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches239
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%25.5%-1.7 pp
Draw29.8%31.8%+2.0 pp
Away43.0%42.7%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS40.6%

Historical average

0.911.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
0-013.4%
1-112.6%
1-010.9%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.07
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=239.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.5%9.3%–24.7% CI
Draw FT52.4%41.8%–62.7% CI
Away FT32.1%23.1%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.1%
Away47.6%