Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 20:45
16.0815.6%
X4.2522.3%
21.5362.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LLDLLWLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Juventus
WWLLWWWLDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
1.60
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.50
Against
4.50
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.10goals per match
Juventus conceded1.70
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.90goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.50
10.10
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
6.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.70
Match total
28.30

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.90
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.6%32.0%+16.4 pp
Draw22.3%20.0%-2.3 pp
Away62.0%48.0%-14.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

0.881.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
2-116.0%
1-016.0%
0-112.0%
1-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.487.08
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.552.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away69.2%