Serie A · 2019/20
2020-07-29 · 18:30
11.5661.1%
X4.2722.3%
25.7416.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
DWWWWLWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Spal
WLWLLWLLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
2.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.60
Against
5.60
8.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.70
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.90goals per match
Spal conceded2.00
Matchup

Spal attack

0.90goals per match
Verona conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.60
8.10
Match total
10.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.40
Match total
30.90

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
6.20
On target
3.90
20%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%67.2%+6.1 pp
Draw22.3%20.3%-2.0 pp
Away16.6%12.5%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

2.250.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
1-112.5%
2-19.4%
3-09.4%
4-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.41
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away50.0%